Saturday, January 12, 2008

Anybody But Mac

CNN's new General Election head-to-heads make it pretty clear whom we ought to worry about:

Clinton 55% (+4)
Giuliani 42% (-3)

Obama 56% (+4)
Giuliani 40% (-5)

Clinton 56% (+2)
Huckabee 42% (-2)

Obama 58% (+3)
Huckabee 39% (-1)

Clinton 58% (+4)
Romney 40% (-3)

Obama 59% (+5)
Romney 37% (-4)

Clinton 50% (+2)
McCain 48% (-2)

Obama 49% (+1)
McCain 48% (--)

Three notes:
1) Trends date back to the CNN poll of 12/6-12/9
2) This is a poll of registered voters. CNN usually sticks with that until closer to the election under the assumption that lots of voters don't know how likely they are to vote until they know who the candidates are and what they are talking about.
3) The lashings that both Clinton and Obama give Rudy, Mitt, and Huck in this poll are bigger wins than we've seen in any head-to-head poll at any point in this cycle.

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